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Lambrecht’s resignation. who follows the defense minister?

Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht (SPD) has been criticized for her performance for months, including calls for her resignation. Recently, there was some evidence that Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) was already planning to replace them, among other things, he neglected to supply Ukraine with Marder infantry fighting vehicles from Bundeswehr stocks. However, Scholz’s plan appeared to be to resolve the personnel issue through a major cabinet reshuffle, which was expected anyway if Federal Interior Minister Nancy Fesser was to campaign in the Hessian state election as the main candidate.

But now reports and indications are mounting that Lambrecht wants to anticipate that and announce his exit on Monday. “Bild” newspaper wrote about this first, and “Spiegel” wrote about the date for the last time. Thus, Scholz must quickly occupy the position of the traffic light cabinet, which is especially important because of the war in Ukraine, or he prefers the castle. Precisely because neither the Federal Government, the Ministry of Defense nor the SPD have commented on the reports, there was much speculation over the weekend about possible successors.

The rules of this game. 1. In coalition negotiations, it is decided which party occupies which ministry. Not even the Chancellor of the Exchequer can reveal it on his own authority. 2. The head of the party decides on the appointment and dismissal of the minister. For example, Scholz cannot appoint or dismiss an FDP minister.

And 3. Scholz gave himself his power. during the election campaign, he promised to fill half of his cabinet positions with women, not half of the SPD positions. Since FDP leader Christian Lindner didn’t care, and the FDP filled three out of four ministerial posts with men, Scholz had to compensate. But it is solely his claim against which he must be measured.

The following names are currently being marketed as candidates:

Eva Hogle, Parliamentary Commissioner of the Armed Forces

If Scholz wants to avoid a major cabinet reshuffle, and there is some evidence for that, Bundestag Armed Forces Commissioner Eva Hogle is the closest successor to the defense minister. The 54-year-old, who holds a doctorate in law, was born in Lower Saxony but has her constituency in Berlin. He had been a member of the Bundestag for more than ten years and had developed such a good reputation as an internal politician in the factions that he was already being considered as a possible federal minister.

When he became Parliamentary Commissioner for the Armed Forces two years ago, it sparked criticism of the Bundeswehr’s lack of expertise. But unlike the former Federal Justice Minister Lambrecht, Högl quickly and deeply familiarized himself with the subject, convinced the soldiers of diligence and through numerous visits to the troops, and is now considered a competent military commissioner committed to modernizing and better equipping the Bundeswehr. .

There are two main arguments against Hogle. with his long experience as a domestic politician, Scholz could use him as interior minister Feiser’s successor if he moved to Hesse. In addition, Hogle has never headed such a large administrative apparatus as the Ministry of Defense. However, Lambrecht’s experience as the Minister of Justice apparently did not help either. And Hogle, after all, was already the head of the department of the Federal Ministry of Labor and the deputy head of the SPD parliamentary group in the Bundestag.

State Secretary of the Ministry of Defense Simtje Möller

Not often, but sometimes it happened that after the resignation of the minister, one of his deputies takes over the position. in the federal government, these are the secretaries of state. In order to maintain his quota for women and keep Eva Högl as Feser’s possible successor, Olaf Scholz may fall back on Lambrecht’s parliamentary state secretary Simtje Möller.

The 39-year-old also has many years of experience in Bundeswehr matters, was defense policy spokesperson for the SPD parliamentary group before being appointed to the Bandlerblok, has built a solid reputation in her new job, and knows: section However, he also lacks management experience. In terms of substance, Möller, who has been a member of the SPD state executive in Lower Saxony since 2014, is close to Scholz and, as spokesman for the Seeheimer Kreis, campaigned for his chancellor candidacy at an early stage.

SPD co-chairman Lars Klingbeil is considered by conservatives to be “one of the few social democrats in the Bundeswehr without chill reflexes” (“Die Welt”). Germany’s largest army base in Münster, which belongs to his constituency as a member of the Bundestag. His father was also a soldier, and it was Klingbeil himself who earned his first incentives in the Defense Commission.

After the federal election, Klingbeil was already being talked about as a possible defense minister, but when Norbert Walter-Borjans resigned as head of the SPD, he decided to co-chair the party alongside Saskia Esken. The first argument against Klingbeil is that Scholz should abandon gender equality, which he could justify with the special situation created by the war in Ukraine. But having the leader of one’s own party in the cabinet is difficult. In addition, the SPD was pressuring Esken at the time to choose between a ministerial position and the party presidency. Klingbeil will have to do the same, but many see him as an anchor of stability at the top of the party.

Wolfgang Schmidt or Hubertus Heil

Now that Olaf Scholz is carrying out a major cabinet reshuffle, things can move, but, see above, only among SPD ministers. Finally, in addition to the ministries of defense and interior, the ministries of labor and social affairs or even the position of head of the chancellor could be filled.

That would be the case if Scholz now wants to prioritize the defense department and use a proven specialist in administration and ministry management. Minister of Labor Hale, whom “Spiegel” is speculating about as a possible successor to Lambrecht, is definitely considered as such. In addition, Hale has already implemented many large social democratic projects after five years in office. Can he now take over the Bandlerblock as an administration specialist?

Making Chancellor Schmidt the successor to Lambrecht would mean making the department a priority and entrusting Scholz’s closest proxy. But Schmidt is absorbed in his role as head of the chancellor, and Scholz had to deal with a number of new personnel problems, ideally with women, as was the case with Hale.

Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann (FDP), Chair of the Defense Committee

Her name is often mentioned, but the FDP woman has no chance. Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, chairman of the Bundestag’s defense committee, is known as a talk show and interview guest and is an undisputed Bundeswehr and military expert. However, it is now less likely than before the formation of the coalition that he will also succeed in the trick of Karl Lauterbach, who became health minister from the coronavirus expert who was everywhere in the media. Because even then FDP leader Christian Lindner did not allow “Struck-Z” to enter the cabinet. he relied on his closest circle of confidantes and valued loyalty far above technical expertise. Now who should sacrifice for Strack-Zimmerman?

In addition, Scholz may not have any interest in revising the agreement on the distribution of cabinet posts between the SPD, the Greens and the FDP. It would be a sign of social-democratic weakness and would create entirely new problems for Scholz. One in particular, in terms of content. since the start of the war, Strack-Zimmerman has taken a fundamentally different line on the Ukrainian war than Scholz, and has done so offensively in every possible sense of the word.

RND:

Lambrecht’s resignation. who will follow the defense minister? appeared first on Ruhr Nachrichten.

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